
Kolkata: The sharp surge in food prices
reflects the impact of the drought and inefficient distribution, which could
not be addressed by monetary policy, the deputy head of
India's
Planning Commission said on Tuesday.
While the increase in food prices was to
some extent expected, it was a concern -- food prices rose an annual 20 percent
in early December -- but they should decline in January, Montek Singh Ahluwalia
told a CII event by video conference.
"From January you will see a decline a
food prices. What you see now is speculative, probably due to the drought
situation. The stock situation is relatively OK," Singh said.
"Problems such as this cannot be
tackled by blunt instruments like monetary policy."
Food prices have jumped on supply shortages
after the weakest monsoon rains in 37 years and then floods in parts of the
country hit crops, raising expectations the central bank will tighten to stop
inflationary pressures spreading into the broader economy.
Analysts expect the Reserve Bank of India
(RBI) to tighten policy as early as this month, starting with a hike in banks'
cash reserve requirements followed by interest rate rises.
Those concerns have pushed 10-year bond
yields to 13-month highs and acted as a brake on the stock market.
"Price increase at the retail level is
much more than the increase at the wholesale level. This is because of
dysfunctionality in the distribution system," Ahluwalia said.
"The ministry is looking into it, but
whenever required, we should import," he added.As part of the steps taken to shore the
economy up against the global financial crisis and downturn, the RBI cut its
short-term lending rate, by 425 basis points between Oct. 2008 and April and
slashed banks' reserve requirements.
First Published: Tuesday, December 22, 2009, 12:50