Rupee plunges to life-time low of 57.37, may breach 58 soon
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Rupee plunges to life-time low of 57.37, may breach 58 soon

Last Updated: Friday, June 22, 2012, 19:08
 
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Mumbai: The rupee on Friday fell to all-time low of 57.37 intra-day against dollar on intense demand for the US currency, particularly from oil importers, but ended at 57.15, recording this year's biggest fall of 85 paise in a day.

Dealers said RBI action was missing in forex market even as rupee continued its free-fall for the fifth day in a row. They also said the rupee breached the 57 level due to strong dollar demand from oil importers in the wake of crude falling to near 18-month low of USD 90 a barrel levels.

Union Bank of India, Treasury Head, V J Mhatre, said, "Apart from oil importers, there was also news that some corporate houses have bought dollar for FCCB repayment."

At the Interbank Foreign Exchange (Forex) market, the domestic unit opened lower at 56.80. Later, it plunged to life-time low of 57.31 before recovering some ground to end at 57.15, a fall of 85 paise or 1.51 percent from last close of 56.30.

As rupee touched its record low of 57.37 a dollar, Finance Secretary R S Gujral in New Delhi said, "Government (is taking) action in terms of supportive measures for ensuring higher inflows of foreign exchange ... Government is conscious of (situation) and is taking appropriate action."

Meanwhile, the Reserve Bank directed state-owned oil firms to buy half of their dollar requirement for oil imports from a single public sector bank SBI.

"RBI letter (asking oil marketing companies to buy US currency from a single public sector bank) has come to the government. We are in correspondence with the oil companies to make sure they comply with the directive," Oil Secretary G C Chaturvedi told reporters here.

But it seems the worst is not over for rupee as treasury managers said the domestic currency could even breach the 58 level. "Rupee is likely to depreciate further to Rs 58.00- 58.40 level per dollar next week," Anindya Banerjee, Senior Manager Currency Derivatives Research Desk, Kotak Securities, said.
Meanwhile, the BSE benchmark Sensex was down by nearly 225 points at mid-session but recovered major part of its losses at the fag end, still closing down by 60 points.

According to provisional data, FIIs withdrew over Rs 174 crore from equities today.

Dealers attributed fag end recovery of 16 paise to the Finance Ministry statement that RBI and the government were taking steps to arrest fall of rupee against the US currency.

Dollar also gained against euro and other currencies in the overseas forex markets amid global economic growth concerns, Moody's downgrade of world's 15 biggest banks and mounting worries over euro-zone debt troubles including the size of a bailout needed to save Spain's banking sector.

"Lack of monetary easing from the US Federal Reserve has triggered a run for the US Dollar and selling in equities and commodities globally," Banerjee said.



The dollar's gain came a day after the US Federal Reserve disappointed some expectations that its policy board would decide to launch a new quantitative easing programme that would inject more money into the economy to boost growth.

The US Dollar has emerged as the top performer in the aftermath of the announcement. The euro had lost 1.25 percent on the greenback from Wednesday, falling to USD 1.2543 from USD 1.2702.

The British pound fell in parallel to the euro, moving to USD 1.5590 from USD 1.5719. The dollar gained to 0.9572 Swiss francs from 0.9455 francs.

Markets would keep a close eye on the next week?s European Union summit, which is expected to discuss measures on combatting the crisis. "In case concrete measures are not announced, then it can cause further sell-off in risk assets and rally in the US Dollar," Banerjee said.

Hemal Doshi, Currency Strategist of Geojit Comtrade, said that rupee depreciated today as there was demand for dollar from oil importers.

"Also, we saw a lot of panic buying from other players when rupee breached the strong resistance level of Rs 56.50 level per dollar during the day," he said, adding that "rupee is likely to breach Rs 58 level in the near-term".

He, however, said that RBI's decision to restrict 50 percent of dollar buying from a PSU bank would help in easing some pressure on the currency.

RBI feels that oil firms seeking a single quote for their dollar requirement, instead of present practice of floating enquiring with several pubilc and private sector banks, would help check volatility and arrest the free-fall of the rupee.

Three big state oil firms -- IndianOil, HPCL and BPCL need about USD 8 billion every month for import of crude oil and some petroleum products like LPG.

Also, HSBC in a report said, "While we have been cautious on the INR for some time and stick to our year-end USD-INR view at 57, there are rising risks that the exchange rate could overshoot. In this context, we do not yet see light at the end of the tunnel for the INR and see value in buying USD-INR in the one-month NDF."

Referring to intervention, Doshi said that there was no intervention from the central bank to support the currency.

The benchmark six-month forward dollar premium payable in November settled lower at 150-152 paise from Thursday's close of 154-156 paise. The far-forward contracts maturing in May remained weak to close at 286-288 paise from 295-297 paise.

The RBI fixed the reference rate for the US dollar at 56.9928 and for euro at 71.5745.

The rupee dropped further to 89.16 against the pound sterling from overnight close of 88.49 and also moved down further to 71.68 per euro from 71.46.

However, it fell back sharply against the Japanese yen to 71.20 per 100 yen from last close of 70.39.

PTI


First Published: Friday, June 22, 2012, 10:02

Comments

rupiss come-chetan parmar -orna
NOT ONLY THE VALUE OF RUPEE HAS DECREASED BUT ALSO OUR VALUE HAS DECREASED IN THE WORLD MARKETCORRUPTION,SCAMS, BRIBE IN FULL SWING AT PRESENT PRIME MINISTER IS BEING CONTROLLED THROUGH REMOTE AND NOW OUR PRESIDENT IS EXPECTED TO BE CONTROLLED THROUGH REMOTE CONTROL-D.N.MAKHIJA -DELHI....INDIA
No worry Allizz well Soniaji make all right No panic-Mohammed -Hyderabad
INDIAN GOVT DESIRES TO RUPEE GO DOWN TO 60 LEVEL-BRIJ -NEWYORK
Please am in need of money to start up a business,if it is by loan,i wil pay it back Or if there is any way i can get money,am ready to do anything just to get to get iti want to be rich,i have suffer so much in this life since i was born-Jameslord -Nigeria
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