ADB lowers India growth forecast to 5.4% for 2012-13

ADB lowers India growth forecast to 5.4% for 2012-13 New Delhi: The Asian Development Bank (ADB) on Friday cut India's growth forecast to 5.4 percent in 2012-13 fiscal, barely two months after it had made a projection of 5.6 percent growth for the Asia's third largest economy.

"India's growth forecast is revised from 5.6 percent to 5.4 percent in fiscal year 2012 and from 6.7 percent to 6.5 percent in FY 2013," ADB said in its Supplement to the 'Asian Development Outlook (ADO) 2012'.

This is the fourth time that the bank has slashed growth estimates for India.

In the ADO released in April, ADB had projected India to grow at 7 percent. But it lowered its estimate to 6.5 percent in July and further to 5.6 percent in the ADO October update citing falling global demand and impact of delayed monsoon on agricultural production.

As regards developing Asia, which comprises 45 nations, ADB lowered its 2012 growth forecast marginally to 6 percent from 6.1 percent. It also revised downward the growth outlook for 2013 to 6.6 percent from 6.7 percent projected earlier.

The growth performance in the developing Asia has remained subdued so far with downside developments slightly outweighing positive events, ADB said, adding "the region should pick up steam in 2013".

India's economy has slowed in the recent years on the back of both domestic and global factors.

Economic growth fell to a nine-year low of 6.5 percent in the 2011-12 fiscal and is expected to be 5.8 percent in the current fiscal, according to RBI estimates.

In the first half of the current fiscal, the economy grew by 5.4 percent, against 7.3 percent in the same period last fiscal.


PTI