IMF sees fragile global recovery

Last Updated: Friday, December 18, 2009 - 11:18

Washington: A fragile global economic recovery is under way, and a double-dip recession remains unlikely, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) said on Thursday.

IMF spokeswoman Caroline Atkinson told a regular briefing for reporters that questions remained about the sustainability of the recovery, which has so far been driven by policy actions by various governments and central banks.
"We have seen some signs of recovery in Europe and the US. We do believe that the economic recovery, the recovery from the crisis, is beginning in terms of output. It will take some time for that to be translated into employment," she said.

The US economy resumed growth in the third quarter, ending four straight quarters of decline. The eurozone registered its first quarter of economic growth in more than a year in the July-September period.
Given that the recovery in both regions has been largely driven by government stimulus, there have been fears of a double-dip recession -- a scenario where the economy perks up temporarily only to contract again.

"The recovery ... is somewhat fragile. Our best case scenario is that there will continue to be growth and no double dip. It will be important that policymakers maintain a cautious approach," said Atkinson.

Labour markets have generally lagged the recovery, though there are signs in the United States that the job market is starting to stabilise.

Bureau Report



First Published: Friday, December 18, 2009 - 11:18

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