Washington: The United States has
underestimated the growth of China`s military as policymakers
have taken public statements at face value or failed to
understand Beijing`s thinking, a study said today.
The report prepared for the US-China Economic and Security
Review Commission said the United States had a mixed record on
predicting the rising power`s new weaponry, including largely
missing the emergence of more advanced submarines.
As for the speed of military modernisation, the study
found "identifiable cases of miscalculation" with China
developing anti-ship ballistic missiles and stealth
fighter-jets earlier than the United States expected.
US analysis could have improved if more experts read
Chinese or even looked at open publications such as academic
technical journals, it said.
"US observers should not take at face value statements
from the Chinese government on military policy, as they could
either be deceptive, or simply issued by agencies" such as the
foreign ministry "that have no real say over military
matters," it said.
The staff report was prepared for the Commission, which
was set up by Congress in 2000 to assess security implications
from China, and does not represent the view of the body or of
the US government. (AFP)