Washington: Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney clearly gained the much-needed momentum from his performance at the presidential debate in Denver last week, but questions are being raised over how permanent that bounce is and whether the race has truly been reshaped.
According to the Christian Science Monitor, Nate Silver of The New York Times in his ‘FiveThirtyEight’ blog acknowledges Romney’s very strong performance, but said that his own forecasting model gives Romney just over a 21 percent chance of winning the electoral vote.
“[S]ome changes may be real, but short-lived,” Silver wrote in his blog.
“It seems quite possible that Mr. Romney would have had at least an even-money chance of winning an election conducted on Thursday exactly, when his polling was very strong, but there was apparently less strength in his numbers on Saturday,” he added.
A Gallup Poll found that before the debate, Obama had a five-point lead over Romney.
In the three days of interviews conducted after the debate, the two candidates were tied, each having support of 47 percent of registered voters.
"The first presidential debate went decidedly in Romney`s favor," Gallup wrote in its poll analysis.