London: White British will become a
minority in UK by 2015 due to immigration and growth in the
population of settled ethnic minorities from the Indian
sub-continent and other non-European Union countries,
according to a new research.
Researchers at the University of Leeds say that the
ethnic makeup of the UK will change dramatically over the next
40 years, with the country becoming far more ethnically
diverse and geographically integrated.
By 2051 the White British, though still the largest
group, will become an ethnic minority, the report says, and
adds that ethnic minorities will make up one-fifth of the
population by 2051 (compared to 8 per cent in 2001), with the
mixed ethnic population expected to treble in size.
Key projections for 2051 include: UK population
could reach almost 78 million (59 million in 2001); White
British, White Irish and Black Caribbean groups to experience
slowest growth; Other White (Australia, US and Europe) and
Mixed to experience the biggest growth.
Ethnic minority share of the population to increase
from 8 per cent (2001) to around 20 per cent, ethnic
minorities to shift from deprived local authorities to more
affluent areas, and ethnic groups to be significantly less
segregated from the rest of the population.
Traditional immigrant groups of South Asian origin
(India, Pakistan and Bangladesh) are project to grow rapidly
In contrast, White British and Irish groups are
expected to be very slow-growing, while the Other White group
is projected to grow the fastest, driven by immigration from
Europe, the US and Australasia.
The London region, the report says, has the largest
ethnic minority population and the most diverse.
The other regions have smaller ethnic minority
populations, where Asian groups are more prominent than the
Black groups in the regions outside London.
Pakistanis are the largest Asian group in the West
Midlands, Yorkshire and the Humber and the North West, whereas
in the East Midlands the Indians are the largest Asian
Project leader Professor Philip Rees of the University
of Leeds said: "The ethnic makeup of UK`s population is
evolving significantly. Groups outside the White British
majority are increasing in size and share, not just in the
areas of initial migration, but throughout the country and our
projections suggest that this trend is set to continue through
He added: "At a regional level, ethnic minorities
will shift out of deprived inner city areas to more affluent
areas, which echoes the way white groups have migrated in the
past. In particular black and Asian populations in the
least deprived local authorities will increase significantly."