Global economic winter to cool India's growth to 5%: UNCTAD



Global economic winter to cool India`s growth to 5%: UNCTAD New Delhi: With the global "economic winter" being far from over, the UN body UNCTAD on Monday projected much lower growth of five percent for India in 2009 against official and RBI forecasts of above six percent in the current fiscal.

The United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD), in its Trade and Development Report,2009, expects Indian economy to expand by five percent in 2009.

The economy grew by 6.7 percent in the financial year 2008-09. In the first quarter of the 2009-10 fiscal, the Gross Domestic Product expanded at 6.1 percent and both the the Reserve Bank and the Prime Minister's Economic Advisory Council expect GDP to be above six percent for 2009-10.

However, despite projecting a lower growth rate, the UNCTAD report lists India as the second fastest growing economy after China, in the backdrop of the global economy set to shrink by 2.7 percent in 2009.

"The economic winter is far from over: Tumbling profits in the real economy, previous over-investment in real estate and rising unemployment will continue to constrain private consumption and investment for the foreseeable future," it said.

"Even economies that will grow this year, such as those of China and India, are slowing significantly compared to previous years," it said, adding crisis is "unprecedented in its depth and breadth" leaving virtually no country unscathed, it said.

Bureau Report