Pakistan's hopes of reaching the ICC World Test Championship (WTC) 2023-2025 final took a significant hit after a crushing 10-wicket defeat against Bangladesh in the first Test. This unexpected loss has pushed Pakistan down the rankings, raising questions about their chances of making it to the final. Despite the setback, there's still a narrow path to qualification, but it requires a perfect run in the remaining matches and a bit of luck. Here’s a breakdown of how Pakistan can still keep their WTC final hopes alive.
Pakistan's recent 10-wicket loss to Bangladesh in the first Test has dropped them to 8th place in the WTC 2023-2025 standings. Their win percentage now stands at 30.56%, significantly impacting their final chances.
This loss marks Pakistan’s first-ever defeat against Bangladesh in Test cricket, adding a historic low to their campaign. The heavy defeat has intensified their challenge for a WTC final spot.
Pakistan still has a chance to qualify if they win all their remaining fixtures. This includes upcoming matches against England, West Indies, and a challenging two-match series in South Africa.
To remain in contention, Pakistan needs to achieve a win percentage of 70.24%. This would put them in a competitive position for the WTC final, given current standings and other teams' performances.
Pakistan's path to the final is dependent on the performances of India and Australia. If India wins eight out of their remaining ten Tests or Australia wins six of seven, Pakistan’s chances diminish.
Despite their current position, a perfect record in remaining matches might still not be enough if other top teams perform well. Pakistan needs to rely on favorable outcomes from other fixtures as well.
Historically, teams in the lower half of the WTC standings have made late surges. Pakistan’s potential turnaround would need to be one of the most impressive in the championship's history.
The series against England and West Indies will be crucial for Pakistan. Winning these matches convincingly could provide a much-needed boost to their WTC prospects.
The away series against South Africa will be particularly tough. Success in these matches is essential for Pakistan to stay in the race for the WTC final.
Mathematically, it’s still possible for Pakistan to reach the WTC final, but it requires not only winning all their remaining games but also hoping for favorable results from other key fixtures in the championship.