Oslo, Aug 29: Unsure about who might win the 2003 Nobel peace prize in October, Nobel-watchers are so far more confident in predicting who won't. That "no-chance" list includes French President Jacques Chirac, US President George W Bush, British Prime Minister Tony Blair, and UN weapons inspectors in Iraq.

Sergio Vieira De Mello, the UN envoy to Iraq who died in last week's bombing of the World Body's headquarters in Baghdad, is also excluded because Nobel peace prize rules prohibit posthumous prizes. On October 10, the secretive five-member Nobel peace prize awards committee will announce its choice. They give no hints and will not even reveal the names of nominees, only giving their number: a record 165 this year.

"There is no clear favourite," said Stein Toennesson, Director of the Peace Research Institute-Oslo. So, Nobel watchers try to guess, in part by eliminating candidates seen as having no chance.

In France, there has been a flurry of speculation about Chirac as a peace prize possibility for standing up to the Bush administration in his opposition to the Iraq War.


Bureau Report