New Delhi, Oct 19: India`s penchant for missing the bus and dialling wrong numbers has reached legendary proportions. We spurned an invitation to join ASEAN in the early-1980s because the pinks in our foreign policy establishment deemed this would be tantamount to kow-towing to yankee imperialism. We welcomed the Soviet Union`s ill-considered invasion of Afghanistan in 1980 because the very same progressives had informed us that only the Red Army can achieve liberation for oppressed souls. So, when the Berlin Wall crumbled in 1989, we were left clutching at straws. So much so that there were whoops of delight in the Indian mission in Moscow when some desperate Communists attempted a pathetic coup against Mikhail Gorbachev in August 1991. India narrowly averted the embarrassment of formally welcoming the Red putschists.
With the Security Council unanimously endorsing the role of the Anglo-American occupation force and the Iraqi Governing Council in restoring sovereignty to the Iraqi people, the history of India`s missed opportunities comes readily to mind. For at least four months, beginning with the visit of National Security Advisor Brajesh Mishra to Washington last May, the George W Bush Administration pleaded, cajoled and tempted India to assume peace-keeping responsibilities in Iraq.
When Deputy Prime Minister L K Advani visited the US in the summer, the entire who`s who of Washington met him to press for the despatch of Indian forces. If India acceded to the request, Advani was told, Indo-US relations would move to a higher plane.
It is not that members of the Cabinet Committee on Security (CCS) weren`t tempted or that the Army was disinclined. It is just that when it comes to the crunch, India loves exercising the softest option. This is precisely what happened with the Iraq project. Our political class fell back on the puerile parliamentary resolution that more or less endorses the reinstallation of Saddam Hussein to claim its hands were tied.
To this was added the lack of domestic consensus, a euphemism for suggesting that Messrs Mani Shankar Aiyar, Sitaram Yechuri and G M Banatwala exercise a veto in foreign policy. Finally, the CCS said no on the ground that there was no UN sanction. In September, electoral compulsions were added to the list of excuses. The Americans were very civil and said they understood.
Now that the UN Security Council has given the CCS what it was insisting on, will India reconsider its mealy-mouthed `no`? It seems highly unlikely. Our intellectual and policy establishments have convinced themselves that the Anglo-American occupation of Iraq is a misadventure that will end in tears.
Therefore, every bomb blast in Baghdad, every assassination of a Shia cleric and every conceited outpouring of French or German diplomatic angst, is cited as another reason why we were right to not assume a supporting role in Northern Iraq. If that was, indeed, the case why didn`t we tell Washington and London at the outset that we don`t have the stomach for wider responsibilities? Would it not have been more honest?
There are contradictory pulls and pressures in India. There is one part of us that is caught in a bizarre time warp that still looks back wistfully at the time Moscow was creating Socialist millionaires by the dozen and when the hallmark of good taste was supping with ridiculously corrupt and incompetent African dictators. This part of us still talks of the charms of multipolarity, forgetting that groups like OIC and EU won`t even allow us into the ante-room.
Fortunately, there is another India. That India is impatient with its Third World tag and despises the lowly role we have settled for. That is an India which believes our rightful place is on the high table. That is the India which is riding the crest of economic success and, like the Pepsi ad, wants more. That India wanted a role in Iraq.
Tragically, the past prevailed, not a vision of the future. It is a miscalculation that will prove costly.