General Elections 2014: Modi wave gaining strength, BJP set to cross 200, says survey
Zee Media Bureau
New Delhi: Narendra Modi-powered Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is expected to register its best ever performance in General Elections 2014, a survey predicted.
On the other hand, the Congress would be decimated to double digits – its` worst ever performance since Independence – as per the pre-poll survey conducted by a news channel.
If the elections are to be held now, the BJP will win 202 seats, a significant increase its tally from 116 seats it won in 2009. The Congress tally will drop steeply from 206 in 2009 to 89 now.
Overall, the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) led by BJP is projected to win 227 seats, falling 45 short of the magic mark of 272 in a house of 543.
The NDA`s projected tally: BJP 202, Shiv Sena 15, Akali Dal 5, Republican Party of India (Athawale) 2, Swabhimani Paksha 1, National Peoples Party (NPP) 1, Haryana Janhit Congress 1 - total 227.
The United Progressive Alliance (UPA) led by the Congress is expected to win just 101 seats.
UPA tally breakup: Congress 89, Nationalist Congress Party (NCP) 5, Rashtriya Lok Dal (RLD) 1, Jharkhand Mukti Morcha (JMM) 2, Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) 2, National Conference 1, Kerala Congress (Mani) 1 - total 101.
The BJP is gaining big in states like Uttar Pradesh, where it is projected to win 34 out of the total 80 Lok Sabha seats. The party would also make major gains in Rajasthan (25) and Bihar (40) with win on 21 seats each. Also, the BJP is expected to sweep Gujarat and Madhya Pradesh, with win in 24 out of 29 seats in MP.
In Bihar, Lalu Prasad Yadav`s RJD, which was written off not long ago, will register an impressive performance and win 12 seats, while the ruling JD(U) under the leadership of Nitish Kumar will be just reduced to 5 seats, the survey said.
The nation`s preferred choice as the next prime minister remains Narendra Modi. The poll survey stated that 59.1 percent people want the Gujarat Chief Minister to take over as PM, only 26.7 percent want the Congress vice president Rahul Gandhi at the helm.
Delhi`s ruling Aam Aadmi Party under the leadership of Arvid Kejriwal is projected to get 7 seats, 3 from Delhi, and one each from Haryana, Maharashtra, Karnataka and one union territory.
Following is the state-wise break-up of the projected seats tally:
Arunachal Pradesh: Congress 1, BJP 1. Total 2
Assam: Congress 7, BJP 5, AUDF 1, BPF 1. Total 14
Bihar: BJP 21, RJD 12, JD-U 5, LJP 1, Congress 1. Total 40
Chhattisgarh: BJP 8, Congress 3. Total 11
Goa: BJP 1, Congress 1. Total 2
Haryana: BJP 6, Congress 1, INLD 1, Haryana Janhit Congress 1, AAP 1. Total 10
Himachal Pradesh: BJP 3, Congress 1. Total 4
Jammu and Kashmir: BJP 2, PDP 2, National Conference 1, Congress 1. Total 6
Jharkhand: BJP 8, JMM 2, JVM 2, Congress 1, Independent 1. Total 14
Karnataka: BJP 11, Congress 14, JD-S 2, AAP 1. Total 28
Kerala: Left Front 9, Congress 7, BJP 1, IUML 2, Kerala Congress (Mani) 1. Total 20
Madhya Pradesh: BJP 24, Congress 5. Total 29
Maharashtra: Shiv Sena 15, BJP 15, Congress 8, NCP 5, RPI (Athawale) 2, MNS 1, Swabhimana Paksha 1, AAP 1. Total 48
Manipur: Congress 1, Others 1. Total 2
Meghalaya: Congress 1, NPP 1. Total 2
Mizoram: Congress 1. Total 1
Nagaland: NPF 1. Total 1
Odisha: Biju Janata Dal 12, Congress 7, BJP 2. Total 21
Punjab: Congress 6, Shiromani Akali Dal 5, BJP 2. Total 13
Rajasthan: BJP 21, Congress 4. Total 25
Sikkim: Sikkim Democratic Front 1. Total 1
Tamil Nadu: AIADMK 27, DMK 5, DMDK 2, Congress 1, CPI 1, CPI-M 1, MDMK 1, VCK 1. Total 39.
Tripura: CPI-M 2. Total 2
Uttar Pradesh: BJP 34, Samajwadi Party 20, BSP 21, Congress 4, RLD 1. Total 80
Uttarakhand: BJP 5, Congress 9. Total 5
West Bengal: Trinamool Congress 24, Left Front 14, Congress 2, BJP 1, Others 1. Total 42
Delhi: BJP 4, AAP 3, Congress 0. Total 7
Union Territories: BJP 3, Congress 1, Others 1, AAP 1.
With IANS inputs
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