16,000 voters cost Tories clear win: Report
London: The Conservatives would have won a parliamentary majority had just 16,000 people in 19 constituencies voted differently, experts said Sunday as they analysed the election results.
Thursday`s vote delivered the first hung parliament in Britain since 1974, putting the first-past-the-post system in the spotlight.
Despite a strong performance at the polls, getting more than two million more votes than Labour with 10.7 million votes, the Tories came out 20 seats short of getting an overall majority in the House of Commons.
Conservative leader David Cameron "came so near and yet so far," said experts Colin Rallings and Michael Thrasher, the directors of the election centre at Plymouth University.
"Just 16,000 extra votes for the Tories, distributed in the 19 constituencies in which the party came closest to winning, would have spared us a weekend of negotiation and speculation," they wrote in The Sunday Times.
"The result shows that it is Labour which continues to benefit mostly from a `biased` electoral system, winning inner-city seats with relatively small electorates and constituencies with lower turnouts," they said.
Had the positions of the parties been reversed (36 percent to 29 percent), Labour would have been returned with a majority of 64 seats, they found.
"In the constituencies where Labour captured between 30 percent and 40 percent of the total vote, it won the seat in 39 percent of cases. By contrast, the Tories won in just 26 percent of constituencies where their vote was in this range", they wrote.
"The big losers continue to be the Liberal Democrats, who accumulate `wasted votes` across the country." They won only one in eight seats in that range.
They said the 3.1 percent of voters who plumped for the United Kingdom Independence Party, an anti-European Union group, could have cost the Conservatives a clear victory.
"If just half of those who voted UKIP in the 19 seats that the Tories most narrowly missed had voted for Cameron instead, he would have had a majority of two," the experts said.
Their analysis showed that in a new election -- which may be necessary to resolve the deadlock -- a swing of 1.8 percent from Labour would give the Conservatives a majority, while a 2.5 percent swing would put them 20 seats ahead.
They also noted to the disparity of the main parties` performance in different parts of the kingdom.
"Scotland and Wales now account for more than a quarter of all Labour MPs: a fact that is bound to raise more questions about the legitimacy of their role in voting on issues that affect England but not their constituents," Rallings and Thrasher wrote.
More from India
More from World
More from Sports
More from Entertaiment
- IAF Mirage fighter plane lands on Yamuna Expressway!
- 'Maggi' under regulatory scanner for excess amount of lead, MSG
- Watch: Michelle Obama's 'Gimme Five' fitness video
- When Subramanian Swamy shocked people at a wedding!
- Mumbaikars join hands to save Pakistani teen with rare illness
- DNA: Analysis of Hurriyat chief Syed Geelani's passport issue
- DNA: Analysis of traffic system of Vancouver, Canada
- Mumbai: Diamond export company denies job to Muslim youth
- Aapke Sitare: Astro prediction for May 21, 2015
- Mirage 2000 fighter jet landing was part of capability demonstration: IAF
- DNA: IAF Mirage 2000 fighter plane lands successfully on Yamuna expressway
- DNA: Osama documents show 'Indian brother in Madinah' financed al Qaeda
- PM Modi's key campaign team member may join Nitish Kumar
- PM Modi speaks at Golden Jubilee celebrations of poet Dinkar’s works
- Woman robbed at gunpoint inside Hyderabad ATM
- RBSE (rajresults.nic.in) Class 12th science and commerce results 2015: Rajasthan Board Class 12th XII exam results 2015 expected to be announced on May 21
- RBSE (rajresults.nic.in) Class 12th science and commerce results 2015: Rajasthan Board Class 12th XII exam results 2015 to be announced today at 4 PM
- CBSE Class 10 Results 2015 to be announced today?
- JAC 12th Inter Arts Result 2015: JAC 12th Inter Arts Result 2015 (jharkhandeducation.net) likely to be announced on Thursday May 21 at 1 PM
- IAF jet lands on Yamuna expressway
- Check Jharkhand Board jac.nic.in: Class 12th Art Results 2015 declared
- Log on to apeamcet.org AP EAMCET Results 2015: Andhra Pradesh EAMCET Marks and AP EAMCET Ranks 2015 declared
- Andhra Pradesh EAMCET results 2015: Andhra Pradesh EAMCET results to be announced on May 21 at www.apeamcet.org
- Fawad Khan doesn’t want intimate scenes with Sonam Kapoor?
- We hire only non-Muslim candidates, diamond export firm tells Muslim youth
- Is MSG in 'Maggi' noodles harmful for you?
- DHSE (dhsekerala.gov.in) 12th Result 2015: Kerala DHSE Class 12th XII exam results 2015 to be announced on May 21
- Mumbai firm booked for denying Muslim MBA graduate job on religious grounds, probe ordered
- SSLC (tnresults.nic.in) Tenth 10th Results 2015: Tamil Nadu Board Class 10th X Higher Secondary exam results 2015 to be declared on May 21
- 'IAS officer DK Ravi possibly committed suicide, suffered big loss in real estate business'